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Paid Media Forecast

The road to £100k in monthly revenue

Need a second opinion? We'll give you our thoughts on your forecast — real numbers, no pitch.

Start here — your business today

Tell the forecaster where you are right now. Everything below — the levers, channel ceilings, break-evens and projections — starts from these numbers. Rough figures are fine; every value can be fine-tuned further down the page.

1

Your market & spendsets demand ceilings for both channels

£
£

2

Current ad performancefrom your ad accounts — last 30–90 days

Google Ads
£
%
Meta Ads
£
%

No account history to hand? Leave the defaults — they're typical UK figures — or tap the Low / Typical / High chips in the channel section below.

3

Your economicsvalue per order & repeat behaviour

£
%
Factor in lifetime valueoff — forecast judged on first purchase only
%
1

Scenario planner

Set your target, model the levers, see if the numbers get you there — all on a first-purchase (Day 1) basis.

Projected monthly revenue
£0/ £100k target

Remember! Forecasts are looks into the future, so they're never 100% accurate. If we were to work with you, we'd do a proper audit and forecast for you based on comprehensive data sets.

Channel mix — Google + Meta

Set each channel's economics and how the budget splits between them. The channel mix drives everything downstream — blended CPC, CVR, revenue, over-time projection. Google has a hard search-demand ceiling; Meta has audience × frequency headroom.

Budget split (of current scenario spend) £10,000 Google · £10,000 Meta
100% Meta50/50100% Google
Blended CPC
£0.86
£
Blended CVR
2.41%
%
Total clicks / mo
23,333
derived: budget ÷ CPC
↳ feeds the forecast
These derived values drive the verdict, funnel, cards and over-time projection.
Google Search

Bottom-funnel intent. Constrained by monthly search volume for your keywords × how much of that impression share you can capture. Search volume is seeded by the industry selector at the top — override it with real Keyword Planner data when you have it.

Ceiling
15,000 clicks / mo
£18,000/mo to saturate at £1.20 CPC
Current: —
Meta Ads

Top-funnel discovery + retargeting. Constrained by target audience size × frequency you can serve before fatigue. Audience size is seeded by the industry selector at the top — override it with real Ads Manager estimates when you have them.

Ceiling
144,000 clicks / mo
£96,000/mo to saturate at £8 CPM
Current: —

What would it take

Your current performance vs the scenario being modelled. Edit the Current values (in the left panel or in the channel section for CPC/CVR) to set your real baseline — the right column shows the lift required. Derived rows cascade from your baseline inputs.

Metric Current Required Change
Clicks
0
budget ÷ CPC
Leads
0
× CVR
Orders
0
× CVR
CAC
£0
spend ÷ orders
ROAS
0.0x
first-purchase
Spend
£0
monthly media
Revenue
£0
first-purchase

Budget vs revenue — at your CVR & AOV

Three CVR scenarios — conservative, your current setting, and a stretch. Curves flatten (and can even dip) as channels hit their saturation ceilings — the exact point where extra budget stops buying growth. Dashed line = your target; the marker is your current scenario.

Need a second opinion? We'll give you our thoughts on your forecast — real numbers, no pitch.
2

Over time — plan the run

Project the current scenario forward with seasonality and growth pace. Choose the horizon and see the month-by-month rhythm, split by Google and Meta.

Over time

Project the current scenario forward — seasonality flexes demand month by month, pace adds growth on top. Bars show the headline outcome each month; the table below has the full picture.

Time horizon
Growth pace — budget %/mo
Seasonality preset Start month

The compounding story
Cumulative LTV lift

3

Lifetime value impact

The same scenario, extended over 12 months of repeat purchases. Same media spend, more revenue — that's the CAC headroom your business actually has.

Your CAC story
You're paying now
£0
Day 1 break-even
£0
max you can spend per order and still profit today
Lifetime break-even off
switch on LTV to see how much more you can afford once repeat purchases are counted
Day 1 value
£0
orders × AOV
+
Lifetime value · over 12 months off
switch on lifetime value to project the 12-month total

Profitability & MER

Full picture after agency fee and delivery margin. Day 1 = first-purchase revenue. Lifetime = 12-month value (needs LTV toggle on).

Day 1
Revenue£0
Total marketing media + fee£0
MER rev ÷ marketing0.0x
Gross profit after delivery£0
Profit after all marketing£0
Net margin0%
Profit / order£0
Lifetime · 12-mo per cohort off
Revenue
Total marketing
MER
Gross profit
Profit
Net margin
Profit / order
Break-even MER at 65% margin
1.54x
Break-even CAC — Day 1 max acquisition cost / order
£0
Break-even CAC — Lifetime with repeat revenue off
Where the money goes — Day 1

How repeat purchases compound

When LTV is on, every month's cohort keeps coming back. Repeat revenue from earlier cohorts stacks on top of fresh first-purchase revenue — and over time it can rival or exceed it.

Need a second opinion? We'll give you our thoughts on your forecast — real numbers, no pitch.

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